446 
WTNT23 KNHC 262054
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
2100 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  77.2W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  77.2W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  76.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N  77.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N  78.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.2N  78.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N  77.5W...INLAND OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N  76.1W...ON THE SE CUBA COAST
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.4W...OVER WATER IN THE SE BAHAMAS
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  80SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 28.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  95SE  65SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 37.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 200SE 190SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  77.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN