Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
000
FOPZ11 KNHC 240838
PWSEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

20N 135W 34 X 84(84) 10(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
20N 135W 50 X 18(18) 26(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
20N 135W 64 X 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

20N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 40(41) 31(72) X(72) X(72)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 25(35) 1(36) X(36)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12)

20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 13(37) X(37)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)

21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

$$
FORECASTER KELLY


Source: Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22