423
ABNT20 KNHC 311143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure located a little more than 100 miles south
of the coast of southern Louisiana continues to produce a small but
concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms with some signs of
organization. Additional development is expected as the low moves
slowly west-northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or
tropical storm is likely to form before the system reaches the Upper
Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts on Tuesday.

Interests along the southwestern Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts
should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later
today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring
locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system this morning. Additional information on this system,
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Near Hispaniola (Remnants of Dolly):
A surface trough of low pressure (the remnants of Tropical Storm
Dolly) is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms
that extends from near Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward
Islands. Redevelopment, if any, would be slow to occur during the
next few days as the system encounters generally unfavorable
upper-level winds while moving quickly west-northwestward at 20 to
25 mph. Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rains and
gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart