Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 01 2026 
000
WTPA22 PHFO 010243
TCMCP2
 
TROPICAL STORM NOLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 164.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  90SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 164.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 164.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.6N 165.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.9N 165.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 22.3N 166.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.6N 167.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.7N 170.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.8N 173.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.2N 179.8E
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.5N 173.1E
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 164.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 01/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/GIBBS


Source: Tropical Storm Nolo Forecast Advisory Number 42