Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Fri Oct 02 2026

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential should remain low through the night.

... 01 UTC Update ...

Showers and the occasional thunderstorm will continue along and
southeast of a slow moving frontal zone draped from the southern
Plains northeast toward the Mid-Atlantic. Instability is rather
limited to the south of this front owing to poor lapse-rates, and
vertical shear is weak. Thus, while the occasional thunderstorm may
occur, the severe potential is low. 

Elsewhere, a couple of lightning strikes may occur toward sunrise
across the north-central US. Here, a short-wave trough moving
through the stronger mid-level flow will overhead, bringing with it
modest large-scale ascent. Temperatures in the 40Fs to low 50Fs with
dewpoints in the 40Fs should limit instability and the overall
potential for more widespread thunderstorm coverage.

..Marsh.. 10/03/2026