AUS-CITY Forums Satellite Television Weather Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

#904139 3 hours ago

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2026

000
FONT14 KNHC 100844
PWSAT4
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092026               
0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ALBANY GA      34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
DOTHAN AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34 77   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE