SPC Oct 26, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Valid 261300Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...Far West TX...
The persistent upper trough over the southwest states is slowly
lifting northeastward today, with neutral to rising mid-level
heights expected over NM/west TX. Water vapor imagery shows another
weak shortwave trough over northern Mexico that will approach far
west TX by late afternoon - likely aiding in the development of
scattered thunderstorms. Forecast soundings show similar but
slightly weaker parameters compared to yesterday, so will maintain
less-than-5% severe probabilities over the region. Nevertheless, a
strong storm or two is possible between El Paso and Midland TX, with
some risk of hail.

..Hart/Dean.. 10/26/2026


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html