653 
WTPZ33 KNHC 291144
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182026
600 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...RACHEL BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN 
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 104.8W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo
Corrientes
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was 
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 104.8 West. Rachel is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A general 
northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during 
the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is 
predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of 
southwestern Mexico. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and 
Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane during the next day or so. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area by tonight or Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima.
This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in
areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and 
spread northward through the end of the week. These swells are 
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. 
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Adams