SPC MD 129
MD 0129 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 18... FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO FAR WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA

Mesoscale Discussion 0129
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

Areas affected...Southeast Texas into far west-central Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 18...

Valid 111724Z - 111900Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 18 continues.

SUMMARY...A supercell south of Lufkin will pose a the greatest risk
of a tornado as long as it continues to interact favorably with the
warm front. Development elsewhere in WW 18 is possible, but
uncertain.

DISCUSSION...The tornado threat in WW 18 will remain focused ahead
of supercell currently south of Lufkin, TX. This storm is roughly
parallel with the warm front which would be the region of greatest
concern for a tornado. Away from the warm front, low-level shear is
less impressive. Additional storm development is possible southwest
of the primary supercell as well as within slowly deepening cumulus
within the Sabine Valley vicinity. However, this development, or at
least the timing of it, is not certain.

..Wendt.. 02/11/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON   30149532 30589548 31089479 31199454 31259411 31279352
            30949327 30659337 30349392 30149532 

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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0129.html