721

ABNT20 KNHC 100528

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Francine, located about 100 miles offshore of northeastern

Mexico.



Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):

An elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic

is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.

Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some

slight development during the next couple of days, but a tropical

depression could still form during that time while the system moves

westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of

the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to merge in a couple of days with

a strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and

the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable

for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression

will likely form during the latter part of this week while the

system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



$$

Forecaster Reinhart




Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook