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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula.

1. Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with a
trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the weekend while the system moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining parallel to but offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along the southwestern coast
of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Reinhart