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FONT13 KNHC 311442
PWSAT3
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                    
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  88(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X  58(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  8  76(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  5   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN