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#781114
Fri 31 Oct 2025 02:42:PM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025 000
FONT13 KNHC 311442
PWSAT3
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 88(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X 58(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 8 76(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
BURGEO NFLD 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
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