Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0436 PM CDT Sat Nov 01 2025

Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

Weak ridging and quasi-zonal flow will dominate much of the western
and central US through mid-week. Stronger westerly flow will develop
over the West and impinge on the Rockies and southern High Plains by
late in the week. A compact upper low will exit the Southeast by Day
4/Tuesday, while strong flow aloft and general upper-level troughing
are expected over the Great Lakes and Northeast through Day
5/Wednesday. 

...High Plains...
Dry/breezy southerly winds are likely on portions of the southern
High Plains on Day 3/Monday with winds turning more westerly on Day
4/Tuesday as lee troughing develops amid modest downslope flow.
Dry/breezy conditions are also likely in portions of southeast
Wyoming into western Nebraska and northeast Colorado on Day
4/Tuesday. If forecast guidance continues to trend towards
drier/breezier conditions, 40% areas may be needed on Day 4/Tuesday.

Stronger winds aloft arrive by Day 6/Thursday leading to stronger
downslope flow and deeper lee troughing on portions of the High
Plains. The 40% probability area was expanded on the southern High
Plains and additional areas on the central/northern High Plains may
be necessary, especially if confidence increases in lower forecast
RH values. 

...Southeast/Mid-Atlantic...
Dry and potentially breezy conditions are expected in portions of
the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic on Day 4/Tuesday - Day
5/Wednesday. Some of these areas have received recent precipitation,
but southern Georgia into North Florida and southeast Alabama have
received less. Additionally, portions of the Carolinas into the
DelMarVa have longer-term dryness even with recent rainfall. The
lack of overlap of stronger winds and lower RH preclude introducing
areas at this time.

..Nauslar.. 11/01/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...