000
WTPZ41 KNHC 052036
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Storm Amanda Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012026
1100 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026

Recent visible satellite imagery shows a completely exposed center 
with only a small area of convection present to the west of the 
center. A SAR satellite pass from earlier this morning showed an 
oblong circulation and a degraded structure on the east side 
of Amanda.  Due to these factors and objective and subjective 
Dvorak intensity estimates of 32-36 kt, the initial intensity has 
been lowered to 35 kt. 

Southeasterly shear and mid-level dry air entrainment are impacting 
Amanda. Small pulses of convection will be possible over the next 
couple of days, which should allow Amanda to maintain tropical 
cyclone status. However, increasingly hostile low- and mid-level 
environmental conditions and upper-level convergence should cause 
Amanda to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low by late 
Sunday. 

Amanda is being steered by a large-scale ridge northeast of the 
storm, and is moving slowly toward the west around 4 kt. A turn 
toward the southwest is expected on Saturday as upper-level high 
pressure builds northwest of the system. The official NHC forecast 
has been adjusted slightly southward and lies between the Google 
DeepMind and various consensus aids. By early next week, the remnant 
low of Amanda is expected to move toward the west, guided by the 
low-level trade winds.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/2100Z 13.1N 134.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 12.9N 134.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  06/1800Z 12.5N 134.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  07/0600Z 12.1N 135.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
 48H  07/1800Z 11.6N 135.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 60H  08/0600Z 11.3N 136.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  08/1800Z 11.0N 137.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  09/1800Z 10.7N 139.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  10/1800Z 10.5N 140.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Adams/Brown