000
FOPZ11 KNHC 311455
PWSEP1
                                                                    
HURRICANE KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026               
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)  34(34)   6(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  76(80)   2(82)   X(82)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  50(50)   2(52)   X(52)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   2(28)   X(28)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  59(61)   8(69)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  34(34)   6(40)
20N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   4(20)
 
25N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KATZ/ROBERTS