AUS-CITY Forums Satellite Television Weather Hurricane Nolo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

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Hurricane Nolo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

#880923 2 hours ago

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

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Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

622 
FOPA12 PHFO 280846
PWSCP2
                                                                    
HURRICANE NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026         
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                    
0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135  
KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 160W       34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  27(32)   8(40)   X(40)   1(41)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
NIHOA          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  10(26)   1(27)   X(27)
BUOY 51101     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)  66(66)  23(89)   2(91)   X(91)   X(91)
22N 164W       50  X   X( X)  21(21)  36(57)   3(60)   X(60)   X(60)
22N 164W       64  X   X( X)   9( 9)  26(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  31(33)  38(71)   8(79)   1(80)
NECKER         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  26(32)   8(40)   X(40)
NECKER         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   4(17)   X(17)
 
20N 165W       34  X  20(20)  21(41)   X(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
20N 165W       50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)  12(39)   3(42)
25N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)
25N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)  31(65)   5(70)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  18(28)   4(32)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  30(32)  21(53)
GARDNER PINN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  11(20)
GARDNER PINN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
25N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  35(46)
25N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)
25N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
MARO REEF      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  30(35)
MARO REEF      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
MARO REEF      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)
LAYSAN         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
LAYSAN         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH