000
ABPZ20 KNHC 052323
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Rachel, located just under 500 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next few days while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs