892

ABPZ20 KNHC 120502

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 11 2018



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Depression Paul, located a little more than 1000 miles west of the

southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.



A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers

and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles west of the

west-central coast of Mexico. Strong upper-level winds appear to be

preventing the system from becoming better organized, and

development, if any, is likely to be slow to occur while the system

drifts southwestward over the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.



An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the

southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual

development is possible after that time while the system moves

generally westward to west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.



$$

Forecaster Zelinsky




Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator