000

ABNT20 KNHC 032321

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Dorian, located east of Melbourne, Florida. The National

Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on recently upgraded

Tropical Storm Fernand, located over the southwestern Gulf of

Mexico, and on recently formed Tropical Depression Eight, located

several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.



A trough of low pressure, located just west of Bermuda, is producing

disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this

disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form

during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeast,

away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to

become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in

Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of

heavy rainfall are likely.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical

Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands within the next

day or so. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive

for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late

this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to

west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO

header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.

Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under

WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.



$$

Forecaster Latto


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook