000

ABPZ20 KNHC 192341

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 PM PDT Thu Sep 19 2019



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Kiko, located over the far southwestern part of the basin, on

Tropical Storm Mario, located several hundred miles south of the

southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm

Lorena, located near the Islas Marias Islands.



Thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area of low

pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern

North Pacific remains disorganized. Some slow development of this

system is possible during the next day or two while it remains

nearly stationary. Further development is unlikely after that time

as the system interacts with and is possibly absorbed by Kiko.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.



An area of low pressure could form south of the southern coast of

Mexico in a day or two. However, development into a tropical

cyclone during the next five days appears unlikely.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.



$$

Forecaster Beven


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook