000

ABPZ20 KNHC 112312

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



An area of low pressure located a little more than 600 miles

southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California is producing

disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of

this system is possible during the next day or two before it

interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather

disturbance to its east-southeast.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles

south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is

producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms

well to the west of the center of the the low. Environmental

conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical

depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week

while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from

the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.



$$

Forecaster Zelinsky


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook