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#688975
Mon 22 May 2023 08:48:PM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
SPC MD 840MD 0840 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 231... FOR PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST OK...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS 
Mesoscale Discussion 0840 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Mon May 22 2023
Areas affected...portions of the TX Panhandle...southwest OK...and western North Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231...
Valid 222045Z - 222215Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231 continues.
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to continue this afternoon and into this evening. An initial threat for hail will likely transition more to damaging winds as cells cluster later this afternoon/evening.
DISCUSSION...As of 2040 UTC, regional radar analysis showed scattered thunderstorms ongoing across portions of the TX Panhandle and far southwestern OK within WW231. Over the last couple of hours, storms have intensified with MRMS MESH showing cores supportive of hail in the 1-2" range. While storms have predominately been multi-cellular thus far, transient mid-level rotation has also been noted with area VADs showing effective shear of 25-30 kt. The mixed storm mode should continue this afternoon, with a threat for large hail and isolated damaging wind gusts. Given the number of storms, cells should gradually merge into one or more southeastward-moving clusters as outflow consolidates, similar to what the latest HRRR data suggests. A locally greater threat for damaging winds may then evolve across portions of the southeastern Panhandle where consolidating storms and stronger outflow may support some severe gusts this evening.
..Lyons.. 05/22/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 33510197 34100202 34310193 34590171 34640166 35310111 35490105 35630091 35660060 35389981 35239949 34639934 33749952 33469992 33280024 33060124 33200182 33510197
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0840.html
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