SPC Jan 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook


Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 AM CST Mon Jan 29 2024

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move southeastward from the Upper Midwest
towards the southern Appalachians through 12Z Wednesday. While the
associated surface reflection will be weak, mid-level height falls
will aid in moderate large-scale ascent. While 850-700 mb moisture
will be limited, with generally 40s surface dew points emanating
east from the Deep South, cooling mid-level temperatures might
support minimal elevated buoyancy by Tuesday night. Guidance largely
suggests that MUCAPE will remain below 100 J/kg. A couple lightning
flashes might occur towards the southern Piedmont from the Carolinas
into GA early Wednesday morning. This appears to be below the 10
percent probability threshold needed for a thunder area delineation.

..Grams.. 01/29/2024


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0700.html