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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery, surface observations, and National Weather
Service Doppler radar data indicate that the well-defined low
pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Georgia.
Therefore, tropical cyclone formation from this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.


2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of
low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
this weekend. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Beven