000

ABNT20 KNHC 271725

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):

A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is

producing widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm

activity while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph. Some

development of this system is possible over the northwestern

Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the

next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):

A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the

Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and

thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be

conducive, and development of this system is anticipated. A

tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form this weekend

several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands while the system

moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Lesser Antilles

should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



$$

Forecaster Pasch/Roberts


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook