000
WTNT21 KNHC 082055
TCMAT1
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 08 2024
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  94.6W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  94.6W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  94.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.3N  95.1W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N  95.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.3N  96.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.5N  96.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N  95.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N  94.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 33.6N  91.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N  89.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  94.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN