872

ABNT20 KNHC 090542

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential

Tropical Cyclone Six, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):

An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and

thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental

conditions appear generally conducive for development during the

next few days, and a tropical depression is expected to form while

the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By the

middle of the week, the system should begin move

westward-northwestward at around 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles

west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area

of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. In a couple of days, this

trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave.

Thereafter, Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual

development of this system, and a tropical depression could form

during the middle to latter part of this week while the system moves

west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued

under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.

Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued

under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.



$$

Forecaster Kelly




Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook