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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072024
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 11 2024
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  28.7W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  28.7W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  27.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.6N  31.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.5N  34.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.6N  36.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.3N  39.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.9N  41.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.3N  43.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.6N  46.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N  48.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  28.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MULLINAX/BLAKE
 
 
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