000

ABPZ20 KNHC 111730

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2024



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest

of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of

showers and thunderstorms stretching from the coast of Mexico and

extending offshore for several hundred miles. This activity is a

little better organized this afternoon, and environmental conditions

appear conducive for additional development. A tropical depression

is likely to form during the next couple of days as the system

begins moving north-northwestward, near the coast of southwestern

Mexico and towards the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of

development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of

southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



$$

Forecaster Papin


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook