136

ABNT20 KNHC 120534

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Francine, located over southern Louisiana, and on Tropical

Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.



Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):

A weak area of low pressure located over the central tropical

Atlantic is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.

Development of this system is not likely while it moves westward at

around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):

A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the

east of the Leeward Islands is producing a few disorganized showers

and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is

expected to limit additional development over the next couple of

days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by

this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:

In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along

a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern

U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development

is possible during the early part of next week while the system

drifts to the north or northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



$$

Forecaster Pasch




Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook