000

ABPZ20 KNHC 251147

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Wed Sep 25 2024



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP95):

Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase and become better

organized this morning in association with an area of low pressure,

partially associated with the remnants of John, located offshore of

southern Mexico. Ship observations in the area also depict pressure

falling within the area the last several hours. If these trends

continue, advisories will likely be initiated later this morning,

with watches and warnings likely issued for portions of Mexico.

Interests in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of

this system as it is expected to produce heavy rainfall with the

potential for flash flooding and mudslides over a large portion of

southern Mexico through this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.



$$

Forecaster Kelly


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook