000

ABNT20 KNHC 142316

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):

A well-defined area of low pressure located over the central

tropical Atlantic is producing occasional showers and

thunderstorms. This system is currently embedded in a dry air

environment, and development is unlikely over the next couple of

days. However, this system is forecast to move generally westward

and environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable

for gradual development by the middle to latter part of this week. A

tropical depression could form as the system begins moving

west-northwestward and approaches or moves near the Leeward Islands

late this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Western Caribbean Sea:

A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern

Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some

gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over

water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern

Central America. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall

is possible across portions of Central America later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



$$

Forecaster Kelly


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook