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#746580
Thu 28 Nov 2024 06:25:AM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
SPC Nov 28, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookSPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.
...Synopsis... A large mid/upper-level trough will cover most of the central and eastern CONUS on Friday, to the south of a mid/upper-level low centered near James Bay. A cold front will continue moving southward across the Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula. Dry and stable conditions are expected to limit thunderstorm potential across most of the CONUS.
Across the Florida Peninsula, showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible as the front moves southward. While deep-layer shear will be rather strong, generally weak ascent and a warm layer near 700 mb will tend to limit available buoyancy and updraft intensify/organization, resulting in low organized-severe potential. Behind the front, remnant midlevel moisture will support potential for elevated convection with isolated/sporadic lightning flashes.
Across the Great Lakes, very cold temperatures aloft (near -20 C at 700 mb) within the cyclonic flow regime will result in the development of lake-effect snow bands through most of the forecast period. Sporadic lightning flashes cannot be ruled out with the strongest bands, though this potential would inherently be quite isolated.
..Dean.. 11/28/2024
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0700.html
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