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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
SPC Jan 9, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025
Valid 091300Z - 101200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.
...Discussion... A low-latitude positive-tilt upper trough over the Four Corners and northwest Mexico will slowly transition eastward toward the southern High Plains through tonight. A related strengthening of deep-layer southwesterly winds will occur across the southern Plains, atop a cool and stable air mass at the surface. Warm advection and elevated moisture transport will be maximized across broad parts of central/southern to east Texas today, and into the Lower Mississippi Valley tonight. Weak elevated buoyancy will support occasional thunderstorms. It is unlikely that instability will be strong enough for any hail risk given poor lapse rates aloft.
..Guyer/Bentley.. 01/09/2025
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html
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