SPC Jan 12, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1010 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but isolated thunderstorms
may occur along parts of the central Gulf Coast tonight.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Large-scale upper troughing will persist over much of the CONUS
today, with meager low-level moisture limiting thunderstorm
potential over a large majority of the country. One exception may be
along/near the coast from far southeast LA to the western FL
Panhandle vicinity. A weak surface low is forecast to develop across
the northwest to north-central Gulf tonight. Increasing low-level
moisture and warm advection may support weak MUCAPE and isolated
thunderstorm potential across this region through early Monday
morning. However, it still appears likely that appreciable
surface-based instability and greater thunderstorm chances will
remain mostly offshore.

..Gleason/Marsh.. 01/12/2025


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html