SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0200 AM CST Sat Mar 08 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...Synopsis...
In the wake of a southeastward-moving cold front, windy and modestly
dry conditions across far south-central Texas are expected to result
in at least Elevated fire-weather conditions on Sunday.

...Lower/Middle Rio Grande Valley...
Surface winds of 20-25 MPH are anticipated in the wake of a surface
cold front, overspreading fuels that are at or above the 80th-90th
annual and seasonal percentiles for ERCs per current fuels guidance
(excluding additional curing and drying during Critical fire-weather
conditions on Day 1). However, current high-resolution ensemble
guidance suggests less confidence in relative humidity values
dropping below 25%. Given the preceding day's Critical fire-weather
conditions, strong post-frontal winds, and receptive fuels, the
introduction of at least Elevated highlights is warranted. If
forecast guidance trends drier, expansion of areas (or perhaps a
narrow upgrade) may be warranted in future updates.

...Northern Great Plains...
Gusty and dry post-frontal conditions are anticipated across the
Dakotas into Minnesota and Montana. Surface winds of 15-20 MPH are
expected, though relative humidity is forecast to remain above 20%
throughout the day, and currently available fuels guidance has ERCs
below the 50th percentile, precluding highlights at this time.

..Halbert.. 03/08/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html