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Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

#773315 Yesterday at 08:33 PM

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 31 2025

000
FOPZ11 KNHC 312033
PWSEP1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025               
2100 UTC SUN AUG 31 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 125W       34 32   6(38)   1(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
10N 130W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 130W       34  X   2( 2)  26(28)  43(71)   7(78)   X(78)   X(78)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  28(30)   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
10N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
10N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  49(51)  26(77)   1(78)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  24(40)   1(41)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   1(20)
 
10N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)  37(66)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  24(32)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN