Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 29 2025
000
WTNT23 KNHC 290255
TCMAT3

HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
0300 UTC WED OCT 29 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 76.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 165SE 150SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 76.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 77.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N 75.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N 74.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.9N 71.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.5N 67.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 37.1N 61.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.2N 54.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 52.3N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 240SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 57.2N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 420SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 76.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 29/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Source: Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 31