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Joined:  Feb 2001 Posts: 381,904 Launch Director |  
| OP   Launch Director Joined:  Feb 2001 Posts: 381,904 | 
Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Oct 30 2025  000WTNT33 KNHC 302351
 TCPAT3
 
 BULLETIN
 Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 38A
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132025
 800 PM AST Thu Oct 30 2025
 
 ...MELISSA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY
 NORTHEASTWARD...
 ...CONDITIONS IN BERMUDA WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE DURING THE NEXT
 SEVERAL HOURS...
 
 
 SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
 ----------------------------------------------
 LOCATION...31.3N 68.9W
 ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
 PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...51 KM/H
 MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
 
 
 WATCHES AND WARNINGS
 --------------------
 CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
 None.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
 A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
 * Bermuda
 
 A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
 somewhere within the warning area. Preparations should be rushed to
 completion in Bermuda before tropical-storm-force winds reach the
 island shortly after sunset today.
 
 After Melissa becomes post-tropical, a brief period of heavy rain
 and gusty winds is possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of
 Newfoundland Friday night.  For more information on impacts in
 Canada, see the Canadian Hurricane Center website at
 https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html
 
 For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
 products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
 DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
 ----------------------
 At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was
 located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 68.9 West. Melissa is
 moving rapidly toward the northeast near 32 mph (51 km/h). An even
 faster motion toward the northeast is expected into Saturday. A
 gradual turn toward the east-northeast is expected on Sunday. On the
 forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to pass to the
 northwest of Bermuda tonight and pass south of the Avalon Peninsula
 of Newfoundland Friday night.
 
 Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
 gusts.  Little change in strength is likely through evening.
 However, Melissa is expected to weaken later tonight and Friday
 and become a post-tropical low by Friday night.
 
 Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from
 the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255
 miles (405 km). Automated stations on Bermuda have been reporting
 wind gusts near 40 mph (65 km/h) during the past hour.
 
 The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve
 Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
 
 
 HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
 ----------------------
 Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
 Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
 WIND: Tropical storm conditions will begin on Bermuda shortly, with
 hurricane conditions expected there tonight. Gusty winds are
 possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland Friday
 night.
 
 RAINFALL: For Bermuda, outer bands of Melissa may bring 1 to 2
 inches of rain through tonight.
 
 A brief period of heavy rain is possible over the southern Avalon
 Peninsula of Newfoundland Friday night.
 
 For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
 Melissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
 Rainfall Graphic, available at
 hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
 STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas
 of onshore winds for Bermuda.
 
 SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions
 of Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands and
 Bermuda during the next couple of days. Swells generated by Melissa
 are also likely to reach the coast of the Northeastern United States
 and Atlantic Canada Friday and persist into the weekend. These
 swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
 conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
 NEXT ADVISORY
 -------------
 Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven
 Source: Hurricane Melissa Public Advisory Number 38a |  |  
 
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