Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1105 AM CST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated lightning flashes may occur with low-topped thunderstorms
approaching parts of coastal southwest Oregon and northern
California late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Dry and/or stable conditions will limit thunderstorm potential
across a large majority of the CONUS on Tuesday. One exception may
exist for parts of coastal southwest OR and northern CA late Tuesday
night into early Wednesday morning. A highly amplified upper trough
will approach the West Coast late in the period, with pronounced
large-scale ascent overspreading the eastern Pacific and immediate
coast of OR/northern CA by 09-12Z Wednesday. With cooling mid-level
temperatures, weak but sufficient MUCAPE may exist to support
isolated lightning flashes with low-topped thunderstorms moving
onshore. Given the expected strength of the low/mid-level flow,
gusty winds may occur with this activity. However, the meager
forecast instability should limit the threat for organized severe
thunderstorms.

..Gleason.. 11/03/2025