Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 262000Z - 271200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No thunderstorms are expected.

...Discussion...
Occasional lightning occurred earlier today near the Florida coast
with a weak line of storms that developed along the cold front. This
convective line has weakened/moved far enough offshore to bring an
end to any thunder potential across Florida. A dry,
continental-polar airmass, which has now become established across
much of the CONUS, will continue to limit any thunderstorm
potential.

..Bentley.. 01/26/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0950 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026/

...Discussion including South Florida...
Longwave trough will remain prevalent east of the Rockies, with some
late-day amplification of the upper ridge into the West in advance
of an approaching shortwave trough. High pressure and
cold/continental trajectories will extensively prevail east of the
Rockies, with an exception being ahead of a cold front crossing the
Florida Peninsula. While near-frontal convergence will remain weak,
and mid-level lapse rates are poor, additional boundary layer
warming and deepening convection may be conducive for a few
lightning flashes, mainly near parts of the coastal southeast
Florida Peninsula through afternoon.