SPC MD 2131
MD 2131 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 627... FOR PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES



Mesoscale Discussion 2131
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0534 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Areas affected...Portions of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 627...

Valid 252234Z - 252330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 627
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain a concern for at least the next
few hours. A severe wind swath is possible, with a few gusts
potentially exceeding 75 mph.

DISCUSSION...An MCS has organized along the NM/TX/OK border over the
past hour, with some severe gusts noted, including a measured 73 kt
gust from the KCAO ASOS. This MCS continues to propagate
east-southeastward amid a dry and well-mixed boundary layer, with
well over 1500 J/kg MUCAPE noted. Given the degree of evaporative
cooling potential and convective organization in place, a severe
wind swath may accompany this MCS as it progresses across the TX
Panhandle. It is unclear how the severe wind threat will be impacted
by the westward drifting outflow boundary from another cluster of
storms. Nonetheless, in the near-term, severe gusts should continue
to accompany the MCS, some of which may exceed 75 mph.

..Squitieri.. 08/25/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON 36830284 37060150 36520059 35810024 35050034 34390099
34270186 34640257 35180311 35800362 36830284

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2131.html