047
ABNT20 KNHC 281116
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fay, located well to the southwest of the Azores.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL91):
An area of low pressure located well to the east-northeast of
Bermuda is moving quickly eastward. Recent microwave imagery
suggests the shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show
signs of organization, though it is unclear if the system has
developed a well-defined circulation given its fast forward motion.
While environmental conditions are currently only marginally
favorable, this system is now likely to become a tropical depression
or storm over the next day or two as it turns east-southeastward and
slows down over the central Subtropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further
development later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook