000
FOPA12 PHFO 302040
PWSCP2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026         
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                    
2100 UTC WED SEP 30 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
22N 164W       34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 
NECKER         34  3   4( 7)   4(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   4( 4)  14(18)  15(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   1(25)   X(25)
25N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
25N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
MARO REEF      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   2(17)   X(17)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  57(59)   1(60)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   X(24)
25N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)
 
LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   1(19)
LISIANSKI      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
LISIANSKI      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
PEARL/HERMES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
KURE           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ADAMS