Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected Saturday.

...Synopsis...
The majority of the CONUS will be dominated by a cool/dry air mass
with no potential for deep convection in the wake of a cold frontal
passage off the southeast Atlantic coast.  One exception will be
across central/south FL where moist profiles (PW greater than 2
inches) and ascent along the cold front will support scattered
thunderstorms.  A second possible exception will be across the
Desert Southwest as midlevel moisture and ascent increase gradually
near and east of a weak closed low over northern Baja.  Buoyancy
rooted in the midlevels will be weak but could become sufficiently
deep for charge separation and isolated lightning flashes the latter
half of the period.

..Thompson.. 10/16/2026