Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2026
000
FOPZ11 KNHC 180243
PWSEP1

HURRICANE TRUDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2026

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TRUDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 37(38) 4(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

SAN BLAS 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

P VALLARTA 34 10 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)

BARRA NAVIDAD 34 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)

MANZANILLO 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)

20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/BLAKE


Source: Hurricane Trudy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19