Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026 
000
WTPZ22 KNHC 242038
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
2100 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.3W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.3W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 103.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.0N 103.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.9N 104.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.6N 104.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 104.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 104.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.0N 104.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 18.1N 105.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 103.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Source: Hurricane Vance Forecast Advisory Number 14