SPC Nov 10, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook


Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Valid 101300Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Elevated thunderstorms may persist for much of the period across
coastal TX/LA as a weak mid-level shortwave trough evolves eastward
across the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley. With MUCAPE
forecast to generally remain less than 1000 J/kg amid modest lapse
rates aloft, any hail with stronger cells that develop over land
should remain sub-severe. Occasional lightning flashes may also
occur with low-topped convection that will move quickly
east-northeastward across parts of coastal WA today in tandem with
another mid-level shortwave trough, but very weak instability will
limit the severe threat with this activity.

..Gleason/Wendt.. 11/10/2026


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html