Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0635 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Valid 270100Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
ARKLATEX TO NORTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms, a few severe, are expected to continue from
the ArkLaMiss into north-central Alabama this evening. A few storms
may produce hail and locally strong wind gusts.

...01z Update...

Notable midlevel short-wave trough is digging southeast across
northern OK/southern MO early this evening. Synoptic front has
settled south to a position from southeast TN-northern MS-central
AR. While LLJ is primarily focused off the NC coast, weak low-level
warm advection is noted across the Mid-south ahead of the
progressive short wave. Scattered convection has developed along
this corridor, and several supercells are noted from east central AR
to northern AL. Latest MRMS data suggests large hail is observed
with the most robust updrafts golf ball size hail has been reported
with a few of these supercells. While scattered convection will
continue ahead of the digging short wave, nocturnal cooling should
begin to affect updraft strength a bit such that overall intensity
of this activity is expected to gradually weaken. Even so, hail/wind
are expected through at least mid evening until low-level lapse
rates begin to adjust to cooling surface temperatures.

..Darrow.. 02/27/2026